Risk aversion and the portfolio

Example numbers — returns, swings and risk aversion are for illustration. This is not investment advice.

Two assets (% a year)
Risk aversion A
2
Share in the risky asset w81.3% risk-free 18.8%

The more you dislike risk (higher A), the less of the risky asset you hold at the same reward. With no extra reward you hold none; with enough reward even a risk-averse person holds some.

051015200246810Swing (standard deviation, %)Expected return (%)A=1A=4A=6risk-freerisky asset

Risk–return line (solid 0–100%, dashed = borrowing) Indifference curve (higher is better) Chosen mix

Price of risk (slope)0.325(8.5 − 2) ÷ 20
Calculated w*0.812(0.085 − 0.02) ÷ (2 × 0.2²) — model assumption
Expected return E_p7.28%2 + 0.8125 × (8.5 − 2)
Swing σ_p16.25%0.8125 × 20

Model assumption: the share comes from mean–variance utility U = E − (A/2)σ². Only the direction (more risk aversion, less of the risky asset) is in the study guide; the formula is a learning supplement.

Not in this calculation

  • Several risky assets — co-movement (correlation) and diversification are a different calculation
  • Borrowing to buy more or short selling — clipped to 0–100% by default
  • Taxes and fees
  • Anyone’s real risk aversion — the slider is an assumption
  • That expected returns and swings stay the same
  • Investment advice

Using the example values

Tool: Renuary (CC BY 4.0) · Numbers are examples. Method and limits on the original page.